It’s win or bust for beleaguered Yeovil at play-off hopefuls Brighton
Yeovil Town are drinking their final pint in the Championship’s last chance saloon.
Anything less than a victory (15/2) away to play-off chasing Brighton will send them straight back down to the third tier. A win will only be delaying the the inevitable – a fact reinforced by the fact that Coral have paid out on Town going down.
The Somerset side have one of the Football League’s smallest budgets, so punters and supporters alike can hardly be surprised. Glovers gaffer Gary Johnson can take one small crumb of comfort going into this game, however.
Oscar Garcia’s Seagulls have struggled to beat sides embroiled in the relegation battle this month – their draw with Blackpool last time out and a blank against Barnsley being perfect examples. They have shared the spoils in four of their last seven outings.
Nonetheless, Brighton start as odds-on 2/5 favourite to confirm the consignment of Yeovil to League One. A draw is priced at 10/3.
Town took a point from the reverse fixture but, with the hosts in need of three to keep up their bid for a top six finish (13/8), odds of 16/1 on a repeat scoreline make it a remote possibility.
Put simply, the Seagulls must beat opposition with an away record as poor as the Glovers if they want to be in the lethal lottery for Premier League promotion in May. The hosts have the second tightest defence, and most clean sheets, in the division.
Brighton are thus even-money to shut Yeovil out, and better priced at 13/10 for a win to nil. A 2-0 home win – the score the last time these sides met on the south cost – is an 8/1 chance.
Punters may wish to look at the Seagulls full backs in the scorers market. Two of their last four matches have seen a player on the flank of defence find the target.
Stephen Ward is 11/2 for a goal anytime, while Inigo Calderon, who has scored against this opposition before, and Bruno Saltor are both 8/1 shots.
As Town have conceded the most away goals of any Championship team, Argentine striker Leonardo Ulloa netting looks a safe bet too. He is odds-on at 4/5 in the anytime market, but better value at 10/3 in both the first and last scorer books.