Ince favoured over Mitroglou to score first of deadline-day signings
Of the players to join Premier League clubs on transfer deadline day, few would contest that Kostas Mitroglou is most expected to have the biggest impact from a goal-scoring perspective.
Mitroglou scored 14 goals in nine league starts for Olympiakos this season and helped himself to a Champions League hat-trick against Anderlecht.
However, at 7/2, he is not the shortest price to score the first Premier League goal among the deadline-day signings. Instead this honour falls to Tom Ince and with good reason.
Mitroglou is not only joining a Fulham team that are bottom of the table, have drawn a blank in their last three Premier League games and failed to score at home to League One Sheffield United in the FA Cup.
This is a Fulham team that visit Manchester United next and then have a home engagement with Liverpool, which are not logical fixtures that promise goals.
Six of the 20 deadline-day signings are priced up in the market, including West Brom loan recruit Thievy, Mitroglou’s Fulham teammate Lewis Holtby, Cardiff’s Wilfried Zaha and Crystal Palace pair Ince and Joe Ledley.
Palace host a West Brom side next that haven’t kept an away clean sheet since the October and have conceded seven goals across their last three top-flight road trips, including letting in four to previously goal-shy Aston Villa.
Ince must be considered more likely than Ledley to be assured a start against West Brom and his statistics from Blackpool this season indicate that he is not afraid at having a shot at goal.
He scored seven times for Blackpool and shot on average as often as Blackburn hotshot Jordan Rhodes this season. The only worry is that he has only scored once in his last 14 appearances.
It is 5/2 that Ince is the first of the six newcomers to score a Premier League goal, with Ledley priced at 9/2 and he did net on his final Celtic appearance before heading to Selhurst Park.
Zaha is also 9/2 and he had an instant impact on his Cardiff debut, stepping off the bench to assist both goals in the victory over Norwich.
This boosts his chances of getting a first start in the Welsh derby at Swansea.
Thievy is 7/1, but having played only once since November, he may be reduced to substitute appearances for a few games.
Meanwhile, Holtby is 8/1 and has the same fixture problems as Mitroglou, although he will be close to the first name on the Fulham teamsheet given their clear lack of creativity.