January bets to make money from Cardiff, Sunderland and Crystal Palace
It is the end of January, which means a little over three months and a little over a third of the Premier League season remains, until it is known who is crowned champions, who qualifies for the Champions League and who is relegated.
Rewind back to the start of December and it would have been nigh on impossible to predict that both Sunderland and Crystal Palace would have improved to the degree they have, to both escape the bottom three.
With only six points separating all of the clubs currently in the bottom half, it is exceedingly tough to make any firm end-of-season predictions, but looking at the final Premier League tables of the last 10 years, we have found three bets that should provide some profit.
Cardiff to finish bottom @ 3/1
Sacking Malky Mackay is certainly looking a shrewd piece of business at present from Vincent Tan, with Cardiff taking only one Premier League point since from five fixtures.
Cardiff sit bottom of the Premier League form table and it is no surprise that they have also sunk to the bottom of the league standings, which is not where a team wants to be at the end of Janaury.
In seven of the last eight seasons, the team to prop up the standings at the end of January have finished in the same position.
Paramount to their survival hopes are their next four Premier League outings, with three of these at home to Norwich, Aston Villa and Hull.
Sunderland to be relegated @ 6/4
Sunderland’s 1-0 home victory against Stoke has seen them move out of the bottom three for the first time since the second week of the season and Gus Poyet’s team have certainly grasped the idea of keeping the points tally ticking over.
The Black Cats have only lost one of their last eight in the league.
However, being 17th at the end of January is worrying based on previous seasons, as seven of the last 10 teams to be in an identical position have been relegated. Only the team sitting 20th at the end of the month have gone down more frequently.
It is a slight concern that Sunderland have seemingly weakened defensively of late, as after three successive Premier League clean sheets, they have now conceded in four of their last five.
Away games with Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool in their next six will not help their quest for points either.
Crystal Palace to stay up @ 8/13
The closeness at the foot of the table means that no Premier League team can currently be backed at an odds-against price to stay up.
Crystal Palace could have been for much of the season, especially after taking only three points from their opening 10 games.
However, they have won six of the 13 since, with Tony Pulis surely a contender for manager of the season following the job he has done. It is tightening up the defence which has been his main development, with 11 of Palace’s last 13 games witnessing under 2.5 goals.
They now sit 14th in the Premier League and no club has gone down from this position at the end of April in the last decade. In fact, only three of these 30 teams to go down have been positioned 16th or higher at the end of January.