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Cheltenham Key Trends: Pertemps Network Final

We take an in-depth look at the key trends for the Pertemps Final in the hope we can find you the winner…

We continue our key trends coverage with the Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle, the second race on Day Three of the Festival. You can find the trends we’ve picked out below, we’ll then take you through each and find out which horses the stats point to.

Pertemps trends

11 of the last 20 winners won their last race

Following this trend immediately eliminates over half the field, leaving you with just 8 horses remaining. Of those, Impulsive Star could be the one to be on following his latest win in a qualifier for this race at Exeter last month. He comfortably saw off several re-opposing horses in that race including Rocklander, Barney Swan and Clondaw Cian and he could well follow with a win in the final for trainer Neil Mulholland and jockey Sam Waley-Cohen.

1 of the 40 winners were aged five 

None of the runners in this year’s renewal are below the age of six, so this trend doesn’t rule anyone out. Three of the last four winners have been six year old’s though and Patrick Kelly’s Presenting Percy would likely get the most support from punters going off that stat.

7 of the last 10 winners were aged eight or older

This is an encouraging stat for those who prefer the more experienced horses. One who certainly catches the eye at the age of seven is Debra Hamer’s Tobefair, who has won his last seven races over hurdles since switching stables. Trevor Whelan retains the ride and can help continue this progressive horse’s increasing profile in the jumps world.

2 of the last 12 winners started with single figure odds

It’s not a race that particularly benefits a favourite going off this trend. There’s only a few in the market trading at single figure odds at the time of writing though and of those, Impulsive Star has to be in with a chance for the reasons highlighted earlier.

Verdict

In a wide open renewal of the Pertemps, I’d be tentatively siding with Impulsive Star. He’s in great form and was very impressive when winning a qualifier for this race last month, seeing off a number of re-opposing horses in the process. He’d be my e/w shout for this.

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