Back
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Google +

Pacquiao to outpoint Horn

Frank Monkhouse | 1 July 2017

Boxing legend looks streets ahead of his host

Big time boxing comes from unfamiliar surroundings this weekend as ring king Manny Pacquiao defends his WBO welterweight world title against Jeff Horn at the Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, Australia.

Pac has been marked up as a strong favourite to get career win number 60, and that’s difficult to argue against when comparing the records of both gladiators. We aim to point followers in the direction of a bit of value to spice up the night.

Is this a case of easy money for Pac?

Two years ago Manny Pacquiao stood in the opposite corner from living legend, and unbeaten star, Floyd Mayweather Jnr for what was expected to be the fight of our time. What we ended up with was another example of just how good Mayweather is, claiming a convincing points win over the Filipino banger. Skip to Saturday and much has changed.

Instead of a sportsman at the top of his game, Manny will duck between the ropes at a Rugby League stadium to face an opponent who is little more than a novice pro, with just 17 previous bouts to his name. So, is this a chance for Pacquiao to earn some easy money and showcase his talents to fans down-under, putting on an exhibition against a local hope, or is it a sign that the multi-weight world champion is all but done at the top of the game, with the big fight nights now a thing of the past?

Points win looks the smart play

A little bit of both, we believe. Manny shows a record of 59 wins against six defeats and two draws. His CV reads like a who’s who of boxing, and we take a look back at some of his more memorable wins, a feature that can be found in our boxing section. Pac is no better than 1/7 in the eyes of Coral traders to get the W, but those who want to follow should listen closely.

The favourite hasn’t stopped an opponent since downing Miguel Cotto in Las Vegas back in 2009, and even then it came late in the fight. That KO victory did arrive on the back of a stunning knockout win vs Ricky Hatton the fight before, but he’s not gone close to getting an opponent out of there since. That means, if you’re going to back Pac Man, the points cheer makes perfect sense at 10/11.

Pacquiao v Vargas tips

Horn’s gamble to backfire

It’s difficult to get excited about the chances of local hero Jeff Horn, even at Coral’s 9/2 price. The 29-year-old is unbeaten to date, 16 wins and a draw, but hasn’t fought anyone in Pacquiao’s class – there’s not many in Pacquiao’s class to be fair – and hasn’t fought anyone anywhere near it either. His record shows wins over a list of very average fighters, and victory on Saturday would represent one of the biggest upsets in modern boxing.

I’m not too sure what his handlers want from this fight. Exposure, a chance to share a ring with a legend, or do they believe Pac is over the hill and this is the best time to add a major scalp to their record? Surely not. Horn, nicknamed The Hornet, brings a 65 per cent KO average, and another early night can be backed at 8/1, while the points verdict has been written off at 14/1, but rates as a much more likely outcome for us.

Get more sports betting previews and tips here