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The Open 2018 tips: Who do you back at Carnoustie?

Cian Carroll | 18 July 2018

Odds and preview ahead of the oldest of the four majors

Carnoustie readies itself for four days of intense, world-class golf as it hosts the 2018 Open Championship for the first time since 2007.

The Scottish venue has seen some incredible moments over the years. Hark back to Sergio Garcia’s play-off loss to Padraig Harrington in ’07. Or Jean van de Velde’s infamous triple-bogey meltdown on the 18th.

It’s a tough, uncompromising course, where steel and fortitude are needed. The Coral News Team previews the major and provide tips and odds.

Market Leaders

Dustin Johnson heads the betting at 10/1. The Texan (yeah I got this wrong before, he’s from South Carolina haha.) has been in relatively good form. Although he’s yet to win a major this season, he was T3 at the US Open, won the St. Jude Classic, and was T8 at the Memorial Tournament.

Next in the betting is Justin Rose at 12/1. The Briton is playing remarkably consistent golf all season, racking up eight top-10s from 12 tournaments.

Rory McIlroy is available at 16/1. But the Northern Irishman hasn’t won a major since 2014. And defending champion Jordan Spieth  – another 16/1 shot – is out of form, failing to finish in the top-20 in any of the last seven events.

Of the market leaders, it’s England’s Tommy Fleetwood who’s the most attractive selection. The Southport native is a prolific winner on the European Tour, and a wonderful ball striker.

The fine stretch of weather across Britain means Carnoustie’s fairways and greens will be first and fast. Control will be needed and Fleetwood masters the ball beautifully. He also holds the course record here, too, and is available at 16/1.

At larger odds

Alexander Noren is also another interesting candidate, available at odds of 25/1. The Swede is another big winner on the European circuit. He’s was victorious at the recent Open de France and has won four of his 10 European Tour titles in the UK.

Speaking of ball-striking excellence, Sergio Garcia is 20/1 chance. The 2017 Masters champion has 10 top-10 finishes at the Open and played a blinder at this course back in ’07 before succumbing to Harrington in a play-off.

Can Tiger tame a major for the first time since 2008? The US superstar has been in resurgent form in recent months. And the last time a course looked this dried out was at Hoylake back in 2006. Woods’ brilliant short game won him the tournament.

The 42-year-old would be the most romantic pick of the weekend and is available at 20/1.

Elsewhere

Admittedly he’s not been in any sort of form, but what a story it would be if Padraig Harrington were to have another run at Carnoustie.

The Irishman won back-to-back Open titles in 2007 and 2008. And although it’s been fairly lean since then, could pull a surprise. He’s way out at 100/1.

Danny Willet heads to Scotland in decent form after an incredibly rough 18 months. The  2016 Masters champion was T6 at the Irish Open and T19 at the Scottish Open last weekend. The 30-year-old is another 100/1 shot.

All Odds and Markets are correct as of the date of publishing