How would La Liga & Serie A look if they were settled by points-per-game?
We’ve run the numbers on Spain and Italy’s top flights
There’s no one-size-fits-all solution to football returning in every country, as we’ve seen with some of the initial plans to resume the season.
It looks like the Bundesliga will restart in the second half of May, but Ligue 1 has called the season already using points-per-game (PPG). That hasn’t gone down well everywhere though, with now-relegated Amiens launching a petition against the decision.
With no confirmed date yet of when La Liga or Serie A will be coming back, we’ve taken a look at how the table could look if both leagues were settled by PPG.
Every team in Spain’s top flight has played 27 games, which would make settling things on points-per-game relatively straightforward, with one notable exception.
Barcelona have a two-point lead over Real Madrid at the top of the table. The Catalan club have 2.15 PPG, compared to their rival’s 2.07, which would see them win a third consecutive title.
Sevilla in third would qualify for the Champions League, though deciding who takes the fourth spot could be very contentious.
Real Sociedad are fourth, though they’re level on 46 points with fifth-placed Getafe. They also both have a goal difference of +12. Sociedad are currently higher by virtue of having scored more goals.
However, when two teams are level on points at the end of the season, La Liga uses their head-to-head record to determine who finishes higher. To complicate things further, the two clubs have only met once so far this season – Getafe’s 2-1 away win in October. It’s hard to see a fair way to call who gets the final Champions League place.
The first of two Europa League spots available through the league would go to one of Sociedad and Getafe. Atletico Madrid would take the other, having had a disappointing domestic campaign so far.
Real Mallorca, Leganes and Espanyol currently occupy the bottom three spots. The trio would all be relegated if PPG were used to settle the season.
Most Serie A teams have played 26 league fixtures so far, though eight have played 25, which means there could be some movement under PPG. And just like in Spain, there’s likely to be some controversy too.
There wouldn’t be any changes at the top of the table though. Lazio have pushed Juventus very hard, but they have 2.38 PPG. The Old Lady are just ahead with 2.42 PPG, which would be enough to seal a record ninth consecutive title.
Inter Milan are out of the title picture after a blip, but they’d still seal a return to the Champions League. Atalanta would also qualify for the second year running.
The Europa League places are currently occupied by Roma, Napoli and AC Milan. Roma and Napoli would be assured of qualification, but Milan would be replaced by Hellas Verona under PPG. Stefano Pioli’s side have 1.38 PPG, compared to Verona’s 1.40.
The bottom two spots are occupied by SPAL and Brescia respectively, who would both go down under PPG. But here’s where things get complicated: Genoa in 17th and Lecce in 18th are both level on 25 points and 0.96 PPG.
Like Spain, Italy uses head-to-head records to determine final standings when points are level. The only game between these sides this term finished in a 2-2 draw. Would Genoa’s superior goal difference keep them up?
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication