Megan Rapinoe, USA, Olympics Women's football winner odds
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Olympics women’s football winner odds: USA tough to stop

| 20.07.2021

Guide to the favourites in the outright betting

As the USA bids to become the first nation to follow a World Cup title with Olympic gold, we are taking a look at the Olympics women’s football winner odds.

Defending champions Germany failed to qualify after being eliminated in the quarter-finals of the 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup.

The 12 competing countries will be divided into three groups of four teams, denoted as Groups E, F and G. The top two teams in each group and the two best third-placed teams advance to the quarter-finals.

We look at the leading contenders for the competition which starts on Wednesday, July 21 and concludes with the final in the National Stadium, Tokyo, Japan, on August 6.


The 2016 Rio Games marked the first time that the USA failed to win an Olympic medal since women’s soccer made its Olympic debut in 1996.

In a major upset, the four-times champions were knocked out by Sweden in a quarter-final penalty shoot-out. They will again face Sweden, along with Australia and New Zealand, their other Group G foes.

Ranked number one in the world, they stormed to victory at the World Cup in France last year, beginning with a 13-0 thrashing of Thailand and concluding with a 2-0 final win over the Netherlands.

Megan Rapinoe and Carli Lloyd, two of several outstanding contributors to USA’s momentous fourth World Cup title, are set to lead February’s SheBelieves Cup champions again and they are 8/13 favourites.


Making their debut in the Olympics, the 2019 World Cup bridesmaids will do well to get as far again.

Their youthful squad has managed to keep a clean sheet just once in five friendlies in the build-up to the Games, and they are in a tough Group F along with Brazil, China and Zambia.

Arsenal’s Vivianne Miedema, who scored 18 times in 22 games for the Gunners last season, will always be a handful, and although they appear to have a few defensive kinks to iron out, their odds of 11/2 to win the gold suggest they are capable of doing just that.

Great Britain

There are just three squad members not from the England side; Scotland’s midfield duo Caroline Weir and Kim Little, and Welsh midfielder Sophie Ingle.

Hege Riise’s side will again rely on striker Ellen White for the goals. She has scored 20 for England, including six in the 2019 World Cup, and forms a dangerous partnership with Fran Kirby, who scored 16 times for Chelsea this season.

Great Britain have never reached the semi-final stages of the Olympics and will look to get off to a winning start against Chile before facing Canada and Japan in Group G.

Their Olympics women’s football winner odds of 7/1 suggest they should reach the knockout stages at least.


Kosovare Asllani continues to be Sweden’s best attacking threat. She scored three at the 2019 World Cup, but Peter Gerhardsson still has to find a settled defensive line-up.

The Olympics women’s football winner odds of 12/1 suggest Sweden will not get as far as they did in Rio.


Coach Pia Sundhage has been the manager in each of the last three gold-medal matches, leading the USA to gold in 2008 and 2012, and taking her native Sweden to silver in 2016.

At the age of 35, Marta is perhaps not the dominant force she once was, and Sundhage will hope that Debinha, with 15 goals in 32 appearances, will continue her rich vein of form.

Brazil’s suspect defence was solid enough at the SheBelieves Cup and their Olympics women’s football winner odds are 14/1.

Marta, Brazil, Olympics Women's football winner odds


Drawn in arguably the toughest group, much will depend on how the host nation fare against Canada in their opening-day clash in Sapporo on Wednesday.

Goals have not been a problem, with Nadeshiko outscoring opponents 22-0 in a series of friendlies.

Defensively they are a young side and can be bullied, but on home soil they should they get out of the group and are 14/1 to win gold.


Ranked eighth in the world, Canada are dangerous floaters and 25/1 to win gold.

Their impressive, young midfield comprises the likes of Evelyne Viens, a 24-year-old midfielder who scored 11 goals in 14 matches for PSG last season, and 21-year-old Sarah Stratigakis, who scored Canada’s only goal in the SheBelieves Cup.

They may be light on international appearances, but experience is provided by veterans such as striker Christine Sinclair and keeper Stephane Labbe.


Having allowed 13 goals in three friendlies this year, there is not much confidence behind Australia.

Their Olympics women’s football winner odds of 25/1 suggest they won’t go too far unless they address their issues at the back.

View the latest Olympics women’s football odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication



Simon Milham