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Burnley v Leeds betting tips: Pressure off Clarets

| 14.05.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Preview and odds for Saturday’s match

Burnley and Leeds both have a free hit going into their final three games of the Premier League season.

The Clarets’ 2-0 victory over Fulham ensured Premier League survival and relegated the Cottagers in the process.

Leeds have had no such worries during their first season back in the top flight and still have a realistic chance of a top-half finish.

Saturday’s game at Turf Moor kicks off at 12.30pm and is live on BT Sport as we pick out some potential Burnley v Leeds betting tips.

Burnley v Leeds match odds

Leeds go into the weekend 11 points above Burnley and are the 7/5 favourites to secure a ninth away win of the season.

They lost 2-0 at Brighton on their last trip but bounced back impressively with a 3-1 victory at home to Tottenham, meaning the Whites have won four of their last eight games and also drawn with Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United.

Burnley are 9/5 underdogs to achieve back-to-back wins for only the second time this season but the Clarets have certainly looked more of an attacking threat and have scored in each of their last nine games.

The 2-0 win against Fulham ended a run of six successive Burnley games in which over 2.5 goals landed.

The same bet is available at 8/11 here while Burnley are 27/20 to score at least two goals.

Leeds have conceded exactly one goal in each of their last four wins, so an away win and both teams to score may prove popular at 16/5 while a 2-1 victory is 8/1.

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Burnley v Leeds head-to-head

This is the first league game at Turf Moor between these teams since April 2016 when both were in the Championship.

Burnley duo Chris Wood and Charlie Taylor were part of a Leeds team that lost 1-0 that day and they were also on the losing side in December when a Patrick Bamford penalty in the fifth minute proved enough to earn Leeds a 1-0 victory at Elland Road.

Incredibly 12 of the last 13 league meetings have been settled by a one-goal margin, with the other being a 1-1 draw.

That suggests these teams are often well matched and a draw can be backed at 12/5 while Leeds are 16/5 to win by one goal and Burnley are 18/5.

Previous XI

Burnley vs Leeds - Football tactics and formations
Burnley: Pope, Lowton, Taylor, Tarkowski, Mee, Cork, Brownhill, McNeil, Westwood, Wood, Vydra.

Leeds: Meslier, Ayling, Koch, Llorente, Struijk, Alioski, Dallas, Harrison, Klich, Bamford, Roberts.

Team news

England goalkeeper Nick Pope is still suffering from a shoulder problem and could sit out after Burnley ensured their survival. Phil Bardsley is out with a hernia problem, while neither Robbie Brady nor Kevin Long will return this season.

Leeds captain Liam Cooper is hoping to return to the starting line-up after missing the last four games through suspension and a glute injury. Fit-again trio Kalvin Phillips (knee), Raphinha (thigh) and Rodrigo (muscle strain) are also pushing for recalls.

Key battles

Leeds know all about the quality of Wood from his time at Elland Road but whether the likes of Cooper, Diego Llorente and Pascal Struijk can stop him is another matter.

The Kiwi’s goal against Fulham on Monday took his tally to 12 for the season, with nine of those coming in his last 12 appearances.

Wood is the 3/1 favourite to open the scoring but is still three behind Patrick Bamford in the goal chart, with the Leeds man 4/1 to strike first.

View the latest Burnley v Leeds odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Andrew McDermott

Andrew is a sports betting content journalist at PA Media. He is a lifelong Huddersfield Town fan but when he isn't reminiscing about their Premier League days he is also a junior cricket coach and enjoys cycling.