Sevilla v Man United Betting Tips: Can United find a way past Sevilla?
Nick Murphy | 16 August 2020
Odds and preview for the Europa League semi-final
Manchester United are one game away from their eighth major European final, but they’ll need to overcome five-time Europa League winners Sevilla to get there.
The La Liga side have developed a serious love affair with this competition in recent seasons, picking up the trophy in 2014, 2015 and 2016. They beat Wolves to make it to the semi-final this time around, and they’ll be gunning to regain their title after a three-year drought.
United, too, are no strangers to success in Europe’s second-tier tournament, having beaten Ajax in the final under Jose Mourinho in 2017. Can Ole Gunnar Solskjaer inspire the Red Devils to their first trophy win under his stewardship?
Our traders can barely split the two teams. Man United are narrow favourites to qualify from the tie at 3/4, with Sevilla available at even-money.
It’s a similar story in the 90 minute market, where United are 3/2 to win against 2/1 for Sevilla. The majority of ties in the rescheduled knockout stage have been tight so far, and there’s 21/20 about the match ending in a Draw, which would force extra time.
Regardless of the outcome, it should be a close match. Each of Sevilla’s last five fixtures in Europe or otherwise have produced two goals or less. Under 2.5 Goals is 8/15 here.
If there are goals, it’s likely Anthony Martial will be amongst them. The Frenchman was United’s spark against FC Copenhagen, and he’s 13/5 to score his fifth goal of the season in this competition.
Bruno Fernandes is another who’s sure to attract attention at 5/2, while Sevilla will look towards semi-final hero Lucas Ocampos at 21/10.
There’s a lot to be said for the term horses for courses. Not only are Sevilla the masters of the Europa League, they also boast an exceptional record against English opposition. Julen Lopetegui’s men have progressed from all six of their European knockout ties against teams from the Premier League, including against Man United in the Champions League in 2018.
That doesn’t bode well for the Red Devils, and neither does their performance against Copenhagen in the quarter-final. Solskjaer’s men were lacklustre, slow and often gave possession away too cheaply.
Rasmus Falk enjoyed particular success against left-back Brandon Williams, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka failed also failed to impress on the other side. Their respective performances should give Solskjaer something to think about against a more potent attacking threat.
It’s not just at the back where United have cause for concern either. Despite registering a total of 26 shots against Copenhagen, the Red Devils had to wait for a Fernandes penalty before they could break the deadlock.
Their Danish opponents allowed for plenty of gilt-edged opportunities which United failed to take, with Martial the main culprit in spite of his excellent all-round performance.
Sevilla won’t be quite as charitable. Los Palanganas have conceded one goal in their last 785 minutes of football in all competitions and have kept five clean sheets in a row coming into this. More worrying for the Premier League side is that their Spanish opponents aren’t even allowing shots on goal, let alone goals themselves.
Valencia were afforded eight shots in the final La Liga match of the season, while Roma created seven chances and Wolves just six. If anything, the Sevilla defence is getting even more miserly, which isn’t good news for a United front-line who are struggling to stick the ball in the net.
It’s all set-up for a fascinating semi-final tie, with the winner taking on Shakhtar Donetsk or Inter Milan in the Europa League final in Lisbon next Friday night.
All odds and markets correct as of date of publication