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French Open betting tips: Analysis of the men’s semi-finals

| 10.06.2021
SPORTSBOOK ODDS

Tennis odds and preview for Friday

Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic meet in the highest-anticipated match of the tournament so far when the men’s French Open semi-finals take place on Friday.

Nadal, a 13-time winner at Roland Garros, faces one of only two players ever to have beaten him on the Parisian clay in world number one Djokovic.

In the other semi-final, two likely pretenders to the dominance of Djokovic, Nadal and Roger Federer meet as Stefanos Tsitsipas takes on Alexander Zverev.

Here we look ahead to Friday’s semi-finals and highlight some potential French Open betting tips.

Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal

After making his way to the second week with minimal fuss, Djokovic was taken to five sets by world number 76 Lorenzo Musetti and did not have things all his own way in a four-set win over Matteo Berrettini in the quarter-finals.

Nadal, a 1/3 chance, heads into a rerun of last year’s final having had his run of consecutive sets won at Roland Garros ended on 36 in a 3-1 win over Diego Schwartzman.

Nadal’s career record of 42.93% of return games won on clay is an ATP record, but Djokovic is ahead of his rival in the category this season having won 44.67% and the Serbian is 11/5 to reach the final.

Nadal has won 81.25% of his service games on clay this season, a significantly higher percentage than Djokovic’s 76.28, and there is a 13/8 Smart Boost for Nadal to win the match with over 37.5 games.

With both players’ return stats making more impressive reading than their service efforts, there is a #YourCall of evens for there to be over 7.5 breaks of serve in the match.

Rafael Nadal

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Alexander Zverev

Two of tennis’ rising stars meet with both looking to claim a first grand slam title.

Tsitsipas has lost his previous three grand slam semi-finals, including a thrilling five-set defeat to Djokovic at this stage in Paris last year.

Zverev reached last year’s US Open final, where he was beaten by Austria’s Dominic Thiem.

Zverev found himself two sets down to qualifier Oscar Otte in the opening round but fought back and has not dropped a set since, with the German 19/10 to reach the final.

Tsitsipas dropped a single set against big-serving John Isner but has looked in imperious form in brushing aside Spain’s Pablo Carreno-Busta and world number two Daniil Medvedev in the latter stages, and the Greek is 2/5 to reach his first grand slam final.

Tsitsipas boasts some of the best serving stats on clay this season and there is a Smart Boost price of 5/4 for him to win his first service game, the first set and the match.

Zverev has only dropped 21 games across his last three matches combined, with those contests lasting an average of 25.33 games, and there is a #YourCall special of 4/1 for Zverev to win the match and for there to be under 41.5 total games.

View the latest French Open odds

All odds and markets correct as of date of publication

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Author

Stuart Walker